Monday, December 03, 2007

The Good, The Bad and The (very) Ugly

It shouldn't be surprising that 72 hours after being hired, BlackRock
financial managers were telling the state what to do about its frozen
local investment fund.

Even before it went to work for the state, BlackRock's director of
credit analysis had produced a detailed accounting of the scarey
mortgage-backed investments that had caused a $16.5 billion run on the
state-managed fund.

Late Friday, BlackRock put that homework to use, securing the
$125,000 state contract to advise Florida what to do with its stinky
investments.

On BlackRock's safe-to-sell list: properties like AngleSea Funding
and Berkely Square Finance, both conduits for repossessions.

On the "dislike" list: Axon Financial Funding, a $9.3 billion SIV
that's in default, and Giro Balanced Funding, which BlackRock notes has
a 35 percent direct interest in subprime mortgage-related assets.

There are a few mortgage-backed investments in Florida's portfolio
that BlackRock considers keepers: Belmont Funding ("sound asset
quality") and Beethoven Funding ("fully-supported by structured
liquidity").

Friday, October 26, 2007

Another Profit Report

St. Paul-based Travelers reports a very profitable third quarter for
the home and auto insurer.

Net income for the three months ending in September is up 15 percent
at $1.2 billion, helped by increases in both premiums and investment
earnings. That raises its profits for the year to date to $3.5 billion.

The company says it has raised home insurance rates this past year an
average 9 percent nationwide.

In Florida, operating under the moniker of First Floridian, the
company seeks to raise home insurance rates an average four percent,
after lowering them 8 percent in June.

Thursday, October 18, 2007

Nationwide's rate cut approved (quietly)

Without nearly as much fanfare as goes into rejecting rate hikes,
Florida insurance regulators wasted no time in approving Nationwide's
decision to go with the flow and cut home premiums an average 16 percent.

The filing with the Office of Insurance Regulation has been quietly
stamped "approved," pending receipt of final documents.

The approval brings total premium reductions since June to 21 percent
for the Florida insurer, exceeding the expectations and promises of
Florida's insurance consultants. The savings is despite Nationwide
Insurance Company of Florida's decision to buy $49 million in additional
reinsurance from its national parent as well as the private market.

Tuesday, October 16, 2007

Farm Bureau's hike: $2.4 million a month

Florida Farm Bureau protests a request by state regulators to delay
an upcoming administrative hearing on the company's denied property
insurance rate hike.

The 25 percent increase was to have gone into effect earlier in
October and every day that goes by is costing Florida Farm Bureau
$78,000 in lost revenue -- $2.4 million a month.

Or look at it this way.

Every day that goes by without the rate hike being approved is saving
Florida Farm Bureau's customers $78,000 -- $2.4 million a month.

Monday, October 15, 2007

State wants more time to take on Farm Bureau

The Office of Insurance Regulation says it is not ready to go
head-to-head with Florida Farm Bureau over denied rate hikes.

The state agency on Monday asked an administrative law judge in
Tallahassee to postpone hearings on the two-month-old case, set for hearings on Nov.
5 through 9. The state contends the case is "complex" and requires
extensive discovery, including expert witnesses and depositions of nine
individuals that have not yet taken place.

What's more, OIR lawyer Marc Herskovitz says he's tied up in other
matters -- including a district court appeal with Universal Health Care
Insurance.

The property insurance wars go public again on Thursday, when state
regulators are scheduled to grill executives of Cincinnati Insurance
about the role financial rating firms and reinsurers played in the
company's request for rate hikes.

Thursday, October 11, 2007

Stuck with another roll of the dice

Florida's $28 billion bet against a 2008 hurricane is back on the table.

House Majority Whip Ellyn Bogdanoff likes CFO Alex Sink's proposal to
let the Florida Cabinet set the terms and rates of hurricane protection
the state sells the insurance industry.

In fact, Bogdanoff helped originate it.

But the current calendar of blended special sessions doesn't leave
the House leader enough time to make her case to the rest of the
Legislature. Bogdanoff says she would need at least two weeks' down time
to sell fellow legislators on the merits of giving up the steering wheel
and allowing the Cabinet to drive a more-nimble Florida Hurricane
Catastrophe Fund.

If that's the case, Florida's fallback position is going through a
second hurricane season with the full $28 billion Cat Fund created by
the Legislature in January 2007 -- selling what for Sink is a very
uncomfortable amount of insurance at a time when private market
reinsurance rates are beginning to drop.

Bogdanoff's hope -- that those prices go down so low that private
insurers simply pass by the exposed state fund, and do their reinsurance
shopping in Bermuda.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007

Reinsurers like Sink's idea

   It's no surprise the reinsurance industry likes CFO Alex Sink's idea of taking Florida's Cat Fund out of the hands of legislators.
   
   Lawmakers responding to citizens fed up with their insurance rates doubled the size of the state fund, taking $16 billion of sales away from the private reinsurance industry. In the end, insurance companies made up for the lost business, by buying more product.

   Sink believes the Florida Cabinet can do a better job of matching state risk to state need, and believes that as private reinsurance rates come down, the Cat Fund can lighten up. And that means less competition to reinsurers.

   "We believe CFO Sink's proposal makes a great deal of sense," says Frank Nutter, president of the Reinsurance Association of America. "The private reinsurance market has both the capacity and the appetite to accept Florida's catastrophe risk and is able to spread that risk around the world, rather than concentrating the risk in Florida as is currently the case. 

   "The private reinsurance market can do that without the huge post-hurricane assessment/taxes inherent in the current law.  We will cooperate with CFO Sink as she moves forward with her excellent proposal."
 


Paul Flemming

Bill Cotterell

Jim Ash

Stephen Price

   
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